I woke up this morning just in time to hear a commentary piece
on CBC ranting about how 17,000 scientists had signed a
petition saying that there is no conclusive proof that climate
change exists, and that based on this we shouldn't spend
valuable time, money and legislation on reducing emissions.
Of course, the wonderful thing about radio and broadcast media
in general is that you can vaguely cite sources and most of
the audience will take it at face value, and even talk about
it at the dinner table. Being a responsible listener, I did a
quick google search and found another well-documented
left-right catfight that has been in progress for some time.
Heartland.org, whose tagline claims "The solution to every
public policy problem" has published an Instant
Expert's Guide to Global Warming which simultaneously
cites 17,000 "Scientists" who signed the Anti-Global
Warming Petition, while discrediting some other petition,
without naming it or otherwise providing any facts. The list
does have an impressive number of PhD's, but the same
Instant Expert's Guide does a pretty good job of showing
exactly how little those three letters mean these days:
"During the 20th century," writes Dr. Patrick Michaels, "we
have already proceeded more than half way to doubling the
natural carbon dioxide greenhouse effect. Here is what
resulted: Life expectancy doubled in the free and eveloped
world. The developing world is catching up as their emissions
rise. Corn production per acre increased five-fold. The
growing season in the coldest latitudes increased slightly,
but enough to increase greenness by 10 percent."
All that as a result of emissions, even though they
aren't really having an effect! The petition itself also
claims that "there is substantial scientific evidence that
increases in atmospheric carbon dioxide produce many
beneficial effects upon the natural plant and animal
environments of the Earth." Even though it isn't happening. So
go ahead, take your SUV
for a Sunday spin, it'll be good for the planet.
This is akin to an argument I remember from when they were
clearcutting parts of Washington State while I was growing up:
clearcuts create habitat for deer, therefor, they're not
really destroying the local ecology. Right.
The Leipzig
Declaration sounds a little more credible, but the
motivations of the signatories have in some cases been shown to be more
political than scientific.
With the petition madness out of the way, what has really been
accomplished? Do the 17,000 names on the petition take into
account the most recent
findings that climate change has accelerated alongside
20th century industrial growth? Who knows? I might venture,
however, that science is best left to facts, and petitions to
politics. These petitions are a bunch of people who disagree
with the Kyoto findings. Great. But names on a list do not
scientific conclusions make.